ESSC Scientists make prediction for 2010 North Atlantic Hurricane Season
28 May 2010
Earth System Science Center (ESSC) Scientist Michael Mann and graduate student Michael
Kozar have released their prediction for the 2010 North Atlantic
hurricane season, which starts on June 1st.
The prediction is for 23.4 +/- 4.8 total named storms, which corresponds to between 19 and 28 storms with a best estimate of 23 named storms. This prediction was made using the statistical model of Sabbatelli and Mann (2007, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH), including the corrections for the historical undercount of events